Week 30 round-up (plus list of long-term #Twitbets)

We can do many right things, but not get the right outcome. That was the case in this round. We had six picks, admittedly a bit early, but five of these picks experienced odds drops until match start, while the last remained at our initial betting price (the draw idea for Esbjerg-SønderjyskE). Most remarkably our Tip of the Week bet on Randers went from 1.85 to 1.50. These movements have been usual in 2015, albeit not in such a great scale as the Randers match. Unfortunately, the results are not going our way. The Randers match was an excellent case: Randers dominating heavily, having two goals disallowed before Hobro score on their first real chance after 60 minutes. The shooting statistic said 20-4. That really should have been a winner. Our idea picks are not going very well. This is of course frustrating, but it was not expected that these tips would yield a positive profit in the long-run. They are just ideas (currently yielding a payback percentage of 99% all-time, which we think is okay). Our recommendations are solid. We want them to be between a 100-110% return and they are currently at 105% all-time. Our Tip of the Week is very disappointing though. 91% return is far below expectations and we have no logical explanation. Odds are dropping on almost every bet and we have often felt unlucky with these bets. We hope and EXPECT these to improve in the future. Anything else would be massively disappointing since it is our best bets. Finally, our #Twitbets are doing fine, so follow us on Twitter if you are not already doing so.

We have included our long-term #Twitbets below. Unfortunately, our top goalscorer bet that have looked great for a long time is suddenly not winning after Pusic has been surpassed by an in-form Hvilsom. We will be hoping Pusic finds the net in the remaining matches. And several of our other long-term bets will come down to the line.

We will bring the next best tomorrow.

List of pending long-term #Twitbets:
4/7 2014: To concede most goals: Hobro - 2.00 at Bet25
25/8 2014: Winner: FC Midtjylland - 3.25 at Unibet
25/8 2014: Leader at winter break: FC Midtjylland - 2.25 at Bet25 WIN
25/8 2014: To relegate: Hobro - 2.55 at Danske Spil
25/8 2014: League top goalscorer: Pusic/Cornelius - 4.39 at Unibet
3/11 2014: Hobro to concede 46 goals or more - 2.35 at Bet25
22/12 2014: SønderjyskE to total less than 16.5 draws in the season - 3.80 at Bet25
31/12 2014: To relegate: FC Vestsjælland - 2.00 at Bet365