30. maj 2015

SønderjyskE-FC Copenhagen preview


Sunday 31/5 16.00
This is probably the match with least at stake in this round. None of the teams can change much, so this is just a matter of finishing the season before going on holiday. SønderjyskE (9th) took a vital point against FC Vestsjælland in the last round, which was enough to save them. They have not played impressively in 2015, but they have earned to necessary points to clinch the goal for the season: to survive. SønderjyskE have been quite poor at home this season. They have only managed to take two wins in 15 matches and they have registered an impressive amount of draws: 8. They are not good at dominating matches, and the result is often some tight and hard fought matches. For this match, SønderjyskE will be without their biggest fighter, midfield warrior Adama Guira. A blow, since he is a very important in shielding the defence. Left back Erik Marxen is doubtful, while winger Johan Absalonsen returns from a ban. FC Copenhagen (2nd) have an incredible list of absences for this match. 9 first team players are out! Six of them would have been starters if fit. Most importantly is the absence of offensive ace Nicolai Jørgensen. Without him FC Copenhagen really lack some spark offensively. It does not make matters easier that their assist champ, left back Ludwig Augustinsson is out here. Augustinsson is 2nd in the league in assist (6) despite of only having played in FC Copenhagen since winter (14 matches)! Central defender Per Nilsson is also a new absence, while captain and central midfielder Thomas Delaney returns from a ban. In total, FC Copenhagen will field a team with many defensive oriented players, and several players out of position (in central defense, on left back and right midfield). FC Copenhagen have managed to take some slim wins despite of injuries for most of 2015, but can they do it again here with the list being even longer?

It is the draw-kings against the injury-kings. Nothing is at the stake here and we could easily get a match, where both teams are unable to break up the opposing defence and not wants to invest anything specific in doing so. Combined they register 66% under 2.5 goal matches and it seems incredible that the bookies have over as favourite. If you are more of gambler go for a draw, otherwise under 2.5 goals should be a value pick.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.98 at Unibet

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