23. maj 2015

FC Copenhagen-OB preview


Monday 25/5 17.00
We have burned our fingers a few times by going against FC Copenhagen (2nd) lately. It has been very impressive how they have been able to take slim wins despite of their long list of injuries and a tight schedule. For this match, the situation is not made easier since central midfielder and captain Thomas Delaney is banned. Fortunately, central defender Per Nilsson, so FC Copenhagen will again have 11 available first team players in the squad. But the question is whether more first team players will return. Offensive ace Nicolai Jørgensen remains doubtful and his return would be a massive boost to the severely weakened FC Copenhagen attack. FC Copenhagen should be certain to take 2nd place and do not have anything specific to play for. OB (7th) are also without anything to play for. A win in the last match against Silkeborg could have sparked continental qualification hopes, but OB were too wasteful and ended up with a draw. OB have shown positive tendencies lately and they have actually won the last three away matches. Only injury concern is Martin Spelmann who left the last match with an injury, but the important offensive midfielder is expected to return here. OB are a strong away team; they rank 4th based on SoTR (47%) and this shows that their skills are in the counter-attacking with the likes of Emil Larsen and Rasmus Falk.

FC Copenhagen have such a long list of injuries that it should be impossible to keep winning, but it is important to have in mind that even though the bench is inexistent, the quality of the players in the line-up is fine. They should just be a bit fatigued by now with cup games and heavy league schedule. This is a match that should really favour a potentially injury-free OB team. We dare to go against FC Copenhagen once more here, but be warned, FC Copenhagen have a remarkable tendency to win the tight matches with a goal. If Jørgensen is back for FC Copenhagen it is a huge no bet.

Idea: 2 (AH +0.75) – 1.90 at Bet365

UPDATE: Jørgensen is back in the squad for FC Copenhagen, which is detrimental for our idea pick.

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