23. maj 2015

Silkeborg-Randers preview


Monday 25/5 15.00
Silkeborg (12th) added a point to their disappointing point score after a hard match at OB (1-1). Silkeborg were very lucky to get that point, OB had a massive overload in chances and even hit the bar four times. Silkeborg are the poorest team in the league, and also the poorest home team based on SoTR (42%). They lack quality in general, but have some players that are at Superliga level (Emil Scheel being the most obvious). Silkeborg have a very slim squad and have often struggled to fill the bench. This could also be the case here. Winger Rolf Skov and striker Morten Beck (who scored last weekend) are both banned, while striker Nicolaj Agger (team top goalscorer), midfielder Daniel A. Pedersen and veteran central defender Thorbjørn Holst are all doubtful. Silkeborg risk being without many of their best offensive players, why they will have to focus on working hard and being defensive solid to get points here. Randers (4th) waved goodbye to hopes of a 3rd place with the rather unfair home loss to Hobro (0-1). Randers (4th) are a quality side that has a good organization and they only have a few absences at the moment. Central defender Mads Agesen remains out with an injury, while striker Nicolai Brock-Madsen is doubtful. Randers will be playing for maintaining their 4th place and they should be very motivated to get back to winnings ways after the frustrating loss last weekend. Randers are however not the most impressive away team and only register the 7th best away SoTR (43%).

Silkeborg risk being without several important players. They lack something to play for, while Randers have a lot at stake and only few absences. The odds market however seems quite fair, so no recommendation here. If we were to have something at stake here, we would go for Randers, since there have been some positive indications in their game lately. Silkeborg not to score could also be a good idea given the offensive absences. If Agger is out, Silkeborg only have Scheel left who has scored more than 1 goal. Randers are at the same time good at keeping a clean sheet and has done this in 7 out of 15 away matches.

Idea: 2 (AH -1) – 2.05 at Unibet
Silkeborg not to score – 2.20 at Tipico

Update: Agger and Pedersen are back in the squad for Silkeborg. Agger is the team top goalscorer, so not good for the Silkeborg not to score bet. Randers will have Brock-Madsen back.

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