FC Nordsjælland-Hobro preview

Monday 25/5 13.00

FC Nordsjælland (8th) have lost the last four matches which have ended their hopes of continental football. They have looked bereft of confidence. However, the last match in Brøndby showed some improvements. Left back Patrick Mtiliga was back in the line-up, and the captain surely has a big impact on his teammates. Team top goalscorer Uffe Bech also came on the pitch late in the 2nd half after an injury, and the speedy winger should be back in the line-up here. FC Nordsjælland are reportedly free of absences and they are typically a very strong home team. The artificial pitch suits them and their style of playing, and this is a reason why they based on SoTR (60%) are the 4th strongest home team in the league. Hobro (5th) took a sensational 1-0 win against local rivals Randers in the last round. Sensational since Hobro were under huge pressure (shooting statistic said 20-4) for must of the match, but Mads Hvilsom once again showed why he is on top of league top goalscorer list; he is such a talented finisher. Hobro have not been looking good lately. They have clearly been the weaker team in the last four matches, and it is obvious that the number of injuries have a negative effect. Talismanic defensive midfielder Jonas Damborg is out, while backs Tjørnelund and Bøge, midfielder Mikkel Thygesen and striker Quincy Antipas are all doubtful. Furthermore, strong central defender Anders Egholm is banned, and all these issues is clearly concerning. Hobro still have an outside chance of continental football, but three wins in the last three matches are probably necessary. Hobro are the weakest away team in the league based on SoTR (35%).

It is a match between two teams in rather poor form. Hobro have more to play for than FC Nordsjælland, but also a much worse squad situation. FC Nordsjælland are a rather strong home team, while Hobro are quite poor away from home. We are quite sure that this match should end in a home win in at least 5 out of 10 cases, why there are good value in a home win here.

Recommendation: 1 (AH -0.5) – 2.02 at Unibet

Update: Antipas is out for Hobro. The other doubtful Hobro players are in the called-up squad. FC Nordsjælland with best team available.