SønderjyskE-FC Vestsjælland preview

Sunday 24/5 17.00

SønderjyskE (9th) dodged a bullet with a 3-2 win in Esbjerg. They can secure their Superliga existence with just a draw here. However, if they lose the face to difficult away games and could risk relegation if other results are not in their way. Motivation should be high! SønderjyskE will have to do without regular winger Johan Absalonsen who is suspended, while the participation of central defender Niels Lodberg is very doubtful. This will be a difficult match for SønderjyskE, since they tend to struggle in home games. They do rank 8th in terms of SoTR (50%), but their home record shows another picture (2-7-5). SønderjyskE are really bad at dominating matches and prefer to live on counter-attacks. FC Vestsjælland (11th) are still alive in the relegation hunt, but they need at least two wins in the last three matches. They will come out with fire in their eyes and they will fight until the end, which have also given them some late wins recently. They are playing decent football and look solid in all lines. One concern is the situation of team top goalscorer Rasmus Festersen who left the last match with an injury. If he is out, it will limit FC Vestsjælland’s offensive power, since they lack a speedy player next to Apostollos Vellios. FC Vestsjælland rank low on away SoTR (37%), but the base of this poor record was made earlier this season, where FC Vestsjælland were playing much worse than they do now after the winter signings and return of left back Michael Lumb have made its impact.

SønderjyskE are a mediocre home team, while FC Vestsjælland seem to be playing with wind in their back at the moment. This will be a tight and intense match, and we see no obvious reason for making SønderjyskE so big favourites. There should be value in the away side and we pick the full win, since this makes more sense given the current situation in the table.

Tip of the Week: 2 – 3.45 at Danske Spil

UPDATE: Lodberg is out for SønderjyskE. Festersen in the called squad for FC Vestsjælland.