Sunday 6/4 14.00
Viborg (11th)
streak of not losing reached its ending point at game number three (0-1 vs.
Brøndby). Viborg delivered a fine performance in a fairly even match. We are
especially impressed with the new Brazilian midfielder Wilton Figueiredo’s good
playmaking abilities. Viborg have registered an average of 8 shots on target in
the past two matches, which is above the league average of 5.2 and team average
of 4.2. Could it be the Wilton effect? The problem for Viborg is something very
uncharacteristic, when looking back at autumn, the inability to convert chances
to goal. We have several times claimed that Viborg would be unable to maintain
their high scoring percentage from autumn, 39% (league average: 27%), but to
see the scoring percentage drop to 14% in spring is quite remarkable. We should
expect to see Viborg improving that number soon. Otherwise relegation is a sure
thing. OB (7th) have been improving over the past two matches. The 2-1 win in
Brøndby was remarkable, while the 2-2 draw at home against SønderjyskE was
disappointing in terms of points, but quite uplifting in terms of play. OB have
created an average of 9 shots on target in the last two matches (5.9 team
average)! A main reason for OB’s improvement could be the return of several key
players to full fitness. One of the more important players is the versatile
Bashkim Kadrii who entered as a substitute in the last match and made an
assist. Kadrii was OB’s best player at the beginning of the season until a
serious knee injury sidelined him. OB’s striker Skoubo left the last match
injured, but his potential absence is of minor importance. In fact it could give
Kadrii an eagerly awaited starting line-up appearance. OB’s central defender
Anders Møller Christensen returns from suspension.
Two teams that
have their force in the offensive players. An over 2.5 goal bet seems logical,
when having the recent performances in mind. The danger is that the importance
of the match in the relegation race might have an effect if the score is equal
in the second half.
Idea: Over 2.5 goals – 1.85
at Unibet
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