8. apr. 2014

FC Copenhagen-AGF


Sunday 13/4 17.00
FC Copenhagen (3rd) finally got back to winning ways after three matches without a win. The 2-0 win against SønderjyskE was nothing spectacular. FC Copenhagen scored two quick goals and brought the three points home on autopilot. What was important was the scorers, Bolaños and Braaten. Two gifted offensive players that have had a rather poor season and a signal of better times could have crucial importance for a FC Copenhagen without two key offensive midfielders for the rest of the season, Toutouh and Jørgensen. Team top goal scorer Igor Vetokele was also absent for the last match and question is whether he will return this weekend. He has not been sharp in 2014 (only one goal scored) so probably not a game changing absence. AGF (9th) are probably the worst team of 2014. They have been the poorest team on the pitch in every one of their seven 2014 games and despite this still managed to earn seven points. When luck stops AGF could be destined for relegation, because the team is simply not good enough currently. Especially in the front line is AGF anything but Superliga standard. Last weekend they attempted a new strategy by fielding the young striker Markus Solberg. Solberg only had one chance and he celebrated it by firing the ball outside the stadium. Solberg might be a man for the future, but not your alone frontrunner in a rough relegation race. AGF only have one player showing true quality at the moment and that is midfielder Danny Olsen. He possesses some calmness on the ball that the rest of the team is lacking. Unfortunately, Olsen broke his toe in the last match, and even though the expectation is for him to play, he will not be at 100%.

Two teams not exactly on top offensively could sound like a logical under 2.5 goals bet. Eight of the last ten H2H’s have ended below. FC Copenhagen have been below in six out of seven 2014 games. AGF have been below in the last two matches after having stabilized the defence. Under 2.5 goals is indeed our idea for this match, although it is reasonable to fear that AGF will self-destruct. Defence is shaky and the goalkeeper is poor.

Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 2.05 at Unibet

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