Sunday 24/4 17.00
Brøndby (4th) are
among those who are in play for the medals this season. Coach Thomas Frank has
stabilised the team and an optimal starting 11 has started to present it self.
Unfortunately for Brøndby striker and top goalscorer Simon Makienok is out due
to suspension. Kenneth Zohore is likely to take his place. Zohore is the same
type of player as Makienok, but his skills with the ball at ground level are
still something that needs work. His strength and height advantage makes him a
threat on set pieces. The only problem is that FC Vestsjælland (9th) are quite
accomplished in the air as well. The most likely way Brøndby can tip over the
FC Vestsjælland bus, which will be parked in front of the away side’s goal, is
with the use of small passes and quick combos. Brøndby showed that ability
against AGF and Esbjerg where small passes and trough balls led to goals. If
Brøndby gets the space they need they will flatten a tire on the FC
Vestsjælland bus, which makes it easier to tip over. Coach for FC Vestsjælland
Ove Pedersen is a cynical tactician. He is probably the coach you want if you
go for a draw. The defence has excelled in making the spaces between the
opposing players tight, which has made it difficult for the opponents to break
through. Five of the last nine games have ended with a draw and in the four
other games the matches was won with only one goal. The matches have also been
low on goals. Eight of the last ten have ended in two goals or fewer. The end
justifies the means and the end could result in at least one point for FC
Vestsjælland and put them closer to survival in the league. No matter how
boring the play is.
There is no doubt
that FC Vestsjælland are going to put up a defensive wall like they have done
in many recent matches. Brøndby’s passing game is good but FC Vestsjælland have
succeeded in closing down many of the teams in the league before (even teams
with better passing game than Brøndby), and they will likely try again this
Sunday.
Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.87 at Betfair
Idea:
X – 4.00 at Bet365
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