Brøndby-FC Vestsjælland

Sunday 24/4 17.00

Brøndby (4th) are among those who are in play for the medals this season. Coach Thomas Frank has stabilised the team and an optimal starting 11 has started to present it self. Unfortunately for Brøndby striker and top goalscorer Simon Makienok is out due to suspension. Kenneth Zohore is likely to take his place. Zohore is the same type of player as Makienok, but his skills with the ball at ground level are still something that needs work. His strength and height advantage makes him a threat on set pieces. The only problem is that FC Vestsjælland (9th) are quite accomplished in the air as well. The most likely way Brøndby can tip over the FC Vestsjælland bus, which will be parked in front of the away side’s goal, is with the use of small passes and quick combos. Brøndby showed that ability against AGF and Esbjerg where small passes and trough balls led to goals. If Brøndby gets the space they need they will flatten a tire on the FC Vestsjælland bus, which makes it easier to tip over. Coach for FC Vestsjælland Ove Pedersen is a cynical tactician. He is probably the coach you want if you go for a draw. The defence has excelled in making the spaces between the opposing players tight, which has made it difficult for the opponents to break through. Five of the last nine games have ended with a draw and in the four other games the matches was won with only one goal. The matches have also been low on goals. Eight of the last ten have ended in two goals or fewer. The end justifies the means and the end could result in at least one point for FC Vestsjælland and put them closer to survival in the league. No matter how boring the play is.

There is no doubt that FC Vestsjælland are going to put up a defensive wall like they have done in many recent matches. Brøndby’s passing game is good but FC Vestsjælland have succeeded in closing down many of the teams in the league before (even teams with better passing game than Brøndby), and they will likely try again this Sunday.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.87 at Betfair

Idea: X – 4.00 at Bet365