OB-AaB

Saturday 26/4 17.00

OB (8th) are the league’s most inconsistent team. One week they beat FC Midtjylland away, the next they lose to FC Vestsjælland (0-1). Well, beating FC Vestsjælland is never easy, and OB even had some good chances, but the play was not good. To make matters worse OB’s central defender Daniel Høegh made a decisive own goal. Fortunately for OB he will be replaced by the, from suspension, returning captain Anders Møller Christensen. OB’s decent midfielder Azer Busuladzic is doubtful for this match with an injury. OB have some nice players when they are offered some space to work with: Rasmus Falk, Bashkim Kadrii, Mustafa Abdellaoue and Emil Larsen. They will look forward to this match since AaB are not a defensive team. AaB (1st) played a poor match last weekend (1-2 to Randers). AaB clearly missed the absent striker Rasmus Jönsson who is vital for AaB’s offensive build-up. Jönsson is expected to return for this match. Another concern is the drop in form of their star midfielder Kasper Kusk, who has been remarkably invisible during the recent matches. AaB will need him to be at his best if they are to win the league.

This will not be an easy match for AaB since OB have a tendency to be good against the league’s top teams (nine points out of twelve against top four teams in 2014). We believe that the odds for OB have increased too much and we find decent value in the home team. AaB have a tendency to play matches with many goals and if OB do not decide to go in super defensive mode, this match could have more than 3.5 goals (has happened in eight out of thirteen AaB away matches).

Ideas: 1 (AH +0) – 2.50 at Bet365

Over 3.5 goals – 2.95 at Unibet

UPDATE: No Thelander (central defender) or Jönsson (striker) for AaB. Both important players. OB without Busuladzic (midfielder). Injury news increase OB's winning chances.