AGF-OB

Monday 5/5 19.00

AGF (12th) are now in last place after another heart-breaking defeat (3-0 in Viborg). AGF dominated to a large extent the match in Viborg, but when you lack quality strikers and your defence is poor it is difficult to win. AGF have seven defeats in a row! They have scored one goal in these seven matches and conceded 15 goals! It is a team without confidence. Key midfielder Danny Olsen has just been reported out for the season. Defensively AGF might be without central defenders Kure and Pasanen, while goalkeeper Steffen Rasmussen might return for the first time in 2014. Replacement Emil Ousager holds the league’s by far lowest saving percentage in 2014: 63% (league average: 75%). This could be a boost, but Rasmussen must be a bit rusty after being sidelined for a long time. AGF have only two players with a current ability to chance things for the better currently and that is winger Akharraz and veteran Martin Jørgensen. If OB can close down the two, they should not face much danger. OB (8th) are suddenly involved in the relegation race after three defeats in a row. It has not been that bad and with a bit more credit from the referee OB would only have lost one of them. OB’s midfield and attack is among the strongest in the league on paper, and it should only be a matter of time until it starts excelling. Defensively the team looks weaker but against a team like AGF it might not cause problems. OB’s key midfielder Rasmus Falk left the last match with an injury, but he indicates that he expects to be ready for Monday.

AGF are so poor at the moment that it is hard to be optimistic. When they lose 3-0 against a poor team like Viborg it can only end with relegation. AGF have been very weak defensively against teams with good offensive runs from the midfielders and that is exactly what OB can offer. If AGF concedes the first goal we doubt they will get anything from this match.

Recommendation: 2 – 2.30 at Mermaidbet

Idea: OB clean sheet – 3.40 at Bet365

UPDATE: Pasanen is out. But Kure might play! Important defensive addition if that is the case. Falk is also expected to play.