FC Vestsjælland-OB

Sunday 20/4 15.00

FC Vestsjælland (9th) will soon be nicknamed as the most boring team in the league. Several injuries for the strikers have resulted in the team taking a very defensive approach and the result is obvious. The last five matches have only offered a total of four goals (only one of them scored by FC Vestsjælland). FC Vestsjælland are undoubtedly good at defending. They have recently drawn against good opponents as Esbjerg and FC Nordsjælland, while only a penalty scoring kept them from doing the same against FC Copenhagen in last round (0-1). The lack of a striker is continuing, so we should expect FC Vestsjælland to line up defensively yet again. They will also welcome the return of strong left back Michael Lumb, while central midfielder Morten Bertolt is suspended. OB (7th), the league’s yoyo team (you never know with them), suffered a tought defeat at home to FC Nordsjælland (0-1). Tough in that sense that OB managed to equalise despite playing 10 against 11 for a half, but the goal was incorrectly nullified. The match had two negative implications. A lot of players must be tired after having to run a lot of extra meters just three days before. Furthermore defenders Anders Møller Christensen and Espen Ruud are suspended. One of the spots will be covered by the decent Daniel Høegh, but the other spot is up for grabs. No matter who takes it, it will be a weakening. Offensively OB are led primarily by midfielder Rasmus Falk. The other offensive stars, Emil Larsen and Bashkim Kadrii are currently not at their usual level. The two teams previous meetings this season have resulted in a win to FC Vestsjælland and a draw. FC Vestsjælland are particularly strong at set pieces and they could take advantage of a OB team without many tall players.

With FC Vestsjælland’s offensive issues we should not expect to see a fascinating match. They will defend first and maybe look for scoring later. OB are very up and down. Without two regular defenders, they might have to play with a bit more caution. We expect a low-scoring match where the chances of a slim win to FC Vestsjælland is not unlikely.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.83 at Betfair

Idea: 1(1-0) – 1.67 at Bet365