Brøndby-SønderjyskE

Friday 18/4 17.00

Brøndby (4th) blew their chance of winning gold medals by losing to league leaders AaB (2-0) last weekend. A fair result, Brøndby were not good enough. Offensively they are too wasteful and defensively they are often saved by quality actions of keeper Lukas Hradecky. The match against AaB welcomed back Khalid Boulahrouz to the central defence and Brøndby are finally able to field the preferred backline after continuous injury issues. Quincy Antipas is suspended, but he is not a regular, so the effect is limited. SønderjyskE (12th) are still alive thanks to a late own goal by Michael Lumb last weekend (1-1 vs. FC Vestsjælland). They will at some point need to start winning matches, and if you look at past H2H’s this could be a good game to start. SønderjyskE have actually not lost to Brøndby in the last six H2H’s. It will be a difficult challenge nevertheless, but with the return of winger Johan Absalonsen and central defender Pierre Kanstrup the chances look better. Important striker Tommy Bechmann’s participation is doubtful.

Brøndby are the favourites of the bookies despite of the poor H2H record. It makes good sense however, since Brøndby are the better team and they should also win. But the odds around 1.80 are not very interesting. It is a no bet match for us, but if we had to pick we would take the over 2.5 goals, mostly based on gut feeling. SønderjyskE are not particularly strong at defending, while having some good offensive threats.

Idea: Over 2.5 goals - 1.94 at Betfair