26. sep. 2014

SønderjyskE-FC Copenhagen


Saturday 27/9 15.00
SønderjyskE (9th) are on a draw roll after three draws in a row (all 1-1’s). In the last two matches SønderjyskE deserved the win, and they have certainly improved with the addition of striker Marvin Pourie. Pourie is a dangerous guy when in top form and he is likely to be quite a bargain. He will be very motivated here, since he is playing against the club that loaned him out (did not believe in him). The risk is that Pourie is a very selfish player, and especially in this match he could be too eager to do everything by himself. SønderjyskE’s offense is looking good though with the return of winger Absalonsen from injury (also a former FC Copenhagen player). We expect SønderjyskE to start earning more points at some point, since they have a strong team. Captain and central defender Niels Lodberg returns from suspension. FC Copenhagen (5th) won the very important Copenhagen derby last weekend (1-0 against Brøndby) and this should be a huge confidence boost. They have been struggling to get continuity, but at some point all the skills of this team should come to light. The question is just when? With the return of key midfielder Nicolai Jørgensen and the versatile Bashkim Kadrii to full fitness FC Copenhagen definitely look stronger. Strong central midfielder Daniel Amartey returns from suspension here.

SønderjyskE have recently improved their offense remarkably, while the same should be the case for FC Copenhagen with the return of Kadrii and Jørgensen. Therefore we believe the over 2.5 goal bet is probably the most interesting bet here. With respect to 1X2 betting, the price seems right at the moment. SønderjyskE are tough to beat at home, but FC Copenhagen should have the strength to do so.

Idea: Over 2.5 goals – 2.025 at Bet365

UPDATE: Striker Tommy Bechmann is quite likely not playing tonight, which gives a small minus for our over bet here.

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