OB-SønderjyskE

Sunday 21/09 14.00

OB (11th) are in a bad condition. They lost due to a very late (and dubious) penalty against FC Midtjylland (3-2), but in truth they were lucky just to be close to getting a point. Midtjylland dominated the shooting stats by 28-8, and it told a lot about OB’s defensive problems. Offensively OB scored two goals out of nowhere, but were otherwise not very intimidating. OB have just strengthened the back line be resigning strong right back Espen Ruud, but OB have more issues. Central defender Daniel Høegh, key offensive midfielder Rasmus Falk and goalkeeper Mads Toppel are all absent for this match. In total it leaves OB with offensive firepower and a vulnerable defence. OB’s only force appears to be the fighting spirit of players like Skulason and Spelmann. SønderjyskE (8th) should have had three points against Hobro last weekend (1-1). The signing of striker Marvin Pourie has huge potential, but he probably needs some matches to be in sync with his new teammates. Offensively it leaves SønderjyskE with a load of offensive players with quality: the speedy Songani and Absalonsen, the ever-dangerous Bechmann and now also the goalgetter Pourie. However, SønderjyskE are still struggling with some injuries. Absalonsen is doubtful here and the same is regular central midfielder Daniel Jensen. Captain and central defender Niels Lodberg is suspended here, but SønderjyskE have many strong central defenders, so it will probably not be a huge loss.

It is a match between two teams that have fighting spirit, so we should expect to see a very physical battle. In our opinion SønderjyskE have more to offer offensively, but OB will probably invest more energy on the home pitch. In total we reckon that OB should be slight favourites here, but looking at the odds, we would prefer betting on SønderjyskE.

Recommendation: 2 (DNB) – 2.43 at Tipico (odds found by putting 71.4% of stake on away win at odds 3.40 and 28.6% of stake on draw at odds 3.50)