18. sep. 2014

FC Vestsjælland-AaB


Monday 22/9 19.00
FC Vestsjælland (9th) are looking like a groggy boxer at the moment. They had a start to the season that gave ideas of better times ahead, but the last two matches have been terrible (losing 3-0 against Esbjerg and Hobro). Vestsjælland should be glad they are back on their own pitch, where they tend to give a better fight. They have just signed central defender Anders Kure, and he should hopefully be able to add some more stability to a backline that has looked vulnerable since the change of coach this summer. Under the old coach Ove Pedersen, FC Vestsjælland were capable of just shutting down matches, if they felt the opponent were too strong. This is not the case under Michael Hansen, why FC Vestsjælland could get into trouble if it’s the “good” AaB that turns up. FC Vestsjælland have several injuries, but they are either not new or irrelevant. AaB (5th) got a huge win against FC Copenhagen (1-0), which should be a momentum booster. They have not had a good start to the season, mainly due to many injuries for their vital midfield. After they have gained some continuity it looks better. They have a strong passing game that is difficult for every opponent in the league. Compared to last season they just need the extra spark that Kasker Kusk (now Twente) added. They play a Europa League match in Bucharest on Thursday, and we have seen Danish clubs having difficulties afterwards. But with no Europa League matches next week it should have limited influence here. Patrick Kristensen is doubtful, but Henrik Dalsgaard should be a fine alternative.

Betting-wise it is difficult match. Last season FC Vestsjælland were good at containing AaB (played 0-0 twice), but under the new coach we doubt FC Vestsjælland will suddenly be good at closing down opponents again. With the momentum added last weekend for AaB, and the groggy state of FC Vestsjælland, we prefer the away win here, although the value is limited.

Idea: 2 – 2.15 at Tipico

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