OB-Silkeborg

Saturday 4/10 17.00

OB (11th) arrive to this vital relegation clash with a new head coach. Troels Bech was fired during the week, and new head coach is the experienced Ove Pedersen (head coach in FC Vestsjælland last season). Pedersen will probably be focussed on the defending here, since he lacks time to make many changes offensively. Most empirical studies have shown that a change of coach leads to poorer results in the subsequent matches, but Pedersen is a solid coach with experience in these during the season coach changes (has done it twice before). However, expecting OB to start playing great football is not likely though. OB will be without young midfielders Mikkel Desler and Rasmus Falk plus central defender Daniel Høegh. Central defender Lasse Nielsen should return to the squad here. Silkeborg (12th) have not won yet. They should have done so last weekend against Hobro, who they dominated for most of the match. On the bright side they got striker Nicolaj Agger on the score sheet for the first time of the season, and this could probably give him more confidence, because his finishing has been horrendous. Silkeborg have a solid team, and it is not a walk in the park to beat them (have not lost a match by more than two goals). No reported injuries or suspensions here.

OB with a new coach will primarily want this match to end without a defeat. Afterwards Pedersen will have time to implement his ideas in the two weeks until next match. Silkeborg are a solid team that lack killer mentality, why they have not won yet. This stinks of a draw. Let us point out that OB have drawed 3 out of 9 matches and Silkeborg 4 out of 9 matches (and that the current league draw average is 33.3% highlighting the current equality of the league). For us, 3.50 for a draw is a really nice price!

Recommendation: X – 3.50 at Tipico
Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 1.94 at Betfair