Esbjerg-FC Vestsjælland

Sunday 14/9 19.00

Esbjerg (11th) are really underperforming compared to the quality of the squad. In the last match against FC Midtjylland they appeared mentally affected, and they lost deservedly (2-0). The question is how they will react here. Will they continue their downtrend, or will they be boosted by the home support? On paper Esbjerg are stronger in every line, and it is only the confidence issue that limits our belief in them. When Esbjerg get a few victories they could be deadly, but until then nervous and ugly performances might be in store. Esbjerg are without the strong central defender Eddy Gomes. Daniel Stenderup replaces him, and he should be a decent alternative. Esbjerg will hope that striker Pusic has a good day. FC Vestsjælland (8th) must be feeling dizzy after their defeat to Hobro (3-1). FC Vestsjælland were clearly the second best team on the pitch that day. Maybe they were too naïve and took to much ball possession and thereby giving Hobro optimal conditions for their counter attacking style. Against Esbjerg it will be a different story, FC Vestsjælland are likely to have limited ball possession, and they can practice their strong counter attacking game. However, FC Vestsjælland have looked quite poor in away matches (losing all three), why head coach Michael Hansen might focus on defending here. FC Vestsjælland have just signed strong central defender Anders Kure, but he has been without a club for months, so we doubt he will be in the starting eleven here. FC Vestsjælland are without important absences.

It is a difficult match too predict. Based on player quality odds 1.90 for a home win here is nice, but Esbjerg’s mental condition scares us. We would rather bet on few goals, since Esbjerg have had limited success offensively, while FC Vestsjælland will probably take a defensive approach here.

Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 1.90 at Bet365

UPDATE: Free Leaguespy preview (data provided by us) is available here: http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=37011&a=33624