Hobro-FC Midtjylland

Friday 3/10 18.30

Hobro (4th) are the success story that seemingly has no end. We backed them last weekend against Silkeborg, but in truth they were very lucky to salvage anything from that game (2-2). They have been so efficient until now. On 40 shots on target they have scored 15 goals – an average team would only have scored 10. Our stats also place Hobro as the, by far, luckiest team in the league (by having a position which is not in line with the chance creating ability). They have some quality offensive players in Hvilsom and Antipas, but in truth it is a team of players that were deemed short of expectations in other Superliga clubs. At some point reality should catch up with Hobro. It is even more likely on Friday since Hobro will be without their suspended defensive midfielder Jonas Damborg who deserves much credit for his ability to spoil the opponents offense. FC Midtjylland (1st) are in the lead, and it is well deserved. The squad depth of FC Midtjylland is extraordinary, and with the good lead to expected main rivals FC Copenhagen, Brøndby and AaB they stand a great chance of earning the championship title. They were dominant last weekend against FC Vestsjælland (1-0) who were in total survival mode. FC Midtjylland clearly lacked some power upfront, where striker Morten Duncan Rasmussen got his first minutes after an injury period. He should improve here. In the midfield FC Midtjylland have so many quality players that it must be a huge challenge for coach Riddersholm to name the starting eleven. Especially winger Sylvester Igboun is in great form, and will be a handful for the Hobro defense. FC Midtjylland could be without central defender Jim Larsen and right back Kristian Bak Bach, but that should not cause major concerns.

For us there should be quality difference here. We backed Hobro last weekend since we expected that the momentum effect could lead them to dominate bottomplaced Silkeborg. Instead they were outplayed, and against the league number one we cannot see any other outcome than Hobro being outplayed again. FC Midtjylland should win this match if they intend on winning the title.

Tip of the Week: 2 – 1.95 at Unibet

UPDATE: FCM winger Rilwan Hassan is injured. He will be replaced by Pione Sisto who is a strong replacement, but it is a small minus for FC Midtjylland.