26. sep. 2014

AaB-Randers


Friday 26/9 18.30
AaB (6th) are in trouble at the moment. They lost 1-0 to FC Vestsjælland last weekend and it seems like they are having trouble following up on their impressive championship season. The offense is not working at the moment. Anders K. Jacobsen gets some chances, but is not very efficient, while Nicklas Helenius is obviously some way from his top form. The result might be that unproven youngster Viktor Ahlmann replaces Helenius. On the positive side, AaB will benefit from the return of the two backs Henrik Dalsgaard and Patrick Kristensen, which should bolster the back line. However, AaB are always strong at home, and this is probably the only reason AaB should be optimistic here. Randers (2nd) are playing some solid football, and getting plenty of points. They are not showing anything spectacular; they are just difficult to beat due to their strong organisation. Offensively they lack a striker in top form, but they manage to get slim wins anyway. We expect Randers to line-up with a very physical team with winger Kasper Fisker as the only a creative force.

AaB are struggling, while Randers have a lot of momentum at the moment. The bookies have noticed this and the offer for the away win is not outstanding, given that the home team is the defending champions. For us, the most interesting outcome here is under 2.5 goals. Randers are not giving away many chances, and they have gone under the line in the last five matches. AaB also lack firepower in front, but are looking quite solid at the back.

Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 1.87 at Betfair

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