SønderjyskE-Brøndby preview

Sunday 19/4 19.00

SønderjyskE (8th) should have done better based on shots stats in 2015. In fact they are the most chance dominating team in the league, but they have won three matches and lost three, which is not very impressive. SønderjyskE have been a bit unlucky defensively, and goalkeeper Marin Skender has probably not had the best time of his career. His saving percentage is a league low 47.6% in 2015 (average is 70.6%). Thus, you would expect SønderjyskE to improve their results. However, they will have to do this without some key players. Veteran striker Tommy Bechmann is out with an injury, while central defender Niels Lodberg will probably also miss the match. They are influential players, and it will be interesting to see how SønderjyskE will cope without them. Brøndby (4th) are the second best team in 2015 based on shots domination. They have also been too inefficient to harvest the full potential of their dominance. However, they have seven points in the last three matches, and this means that they are the main favourites for 3rd place. This is not set to be an easy match for them though. They tend to struggle away (only 2 wins in 11 matches), and three key players could be out. The least important, striker Johan Elmander is out with a suspension, while midfielder Thomas Kahlenberg is very doubtful with an injury. Lastly, and most important, central defender Daniel Agger could get a punishment after hitting an opponent in the last match. Our expectation is that he will receive some kind of suspension ahead of this game. These are the three veterans in Brøndby, and with the remaining squad mainly consisting of young players; this could become a very difficult away match.

SønderjyskE are a weak home team, since they prefer a counter-attacking approach. Brøndby are a weak away team, since they tend to get overmatched by physical opponents when not playing on their own pitch. Thus, this match is not really suiting for any of them. Thus, in our opinion the obvious choice would be too go for a draw, which is also well-paid and a satisfying result for both teams given their absences.

Idea: X – 3.40 at Tipico