Friday 17/4
18.30
FC
Midtjylland (1st) look certain to take the championship title after yet another
marginal win. This time it was in Aalborg, where FC Midtjylland won a very even
match after a freak deflection in the 93th minute. FC Midtjylland are not
playing as good as in autumn, but they are getting good results anyway. A
partial explanation for the weakening in play is a large number of injuries.
For this match, the goalkeeper Dahlin is newest absence, but alternative Haugaard
will probably not have to work hard here. Two important players who were out in
the last match should return here: central defender Jim Larsen and offensive
midfielder Petter Andersson. Especially Andersson could be important in a match
against Silkeborg, where his creativity will come in handy. Silkeborg (12th)
are back on the ground after a 0-4 loss versus FC Copenhagen. We believe they
had it coming. They have been incredibly efficient in 2015 (scoring percent
above 50%!), and their fundamental stats are not spectacular. Based on their
shots dominance (SoTR), they are worst in the league in 2015 with a 36.8% SoTR.
This means that they only have 36.8% of the shots on target in the matches they
play. In other words, they are on average overmatched. This should also be the
case here. Strong midfielder Emil Scheel is still out, and Silkeborg are only
able to name 17 out of 18 possible for the called squad.
FC
Midtjylland are amazing at home, where they have won all 12 matches with a
score of 29-6. They have an in-form player like Pusic on top (6 goals in 7 FC
Midtjylland matches), and it is difficult to see how poor Silkeborg should cope
with that. This should be a clear win for FC Midtjylland, and we would be
surprised if it is kept to a one goal win.
Tip of the Week: 1 (AH -1.5) – 1.90 at Bet365
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