AaB-FC Midtjylland preview

Sunday 12/4 17.00

AaB (6th) are still in the hunt for 3rd place, but they need to start gathering some wins soon. Their performance has been very volatile in 2015. In the last match against Randers, they showed some of the things that made them a title winner last season. They moved the ball well, and their direct passing style was able to put Randers under pressure until Rasmus Würtz got dismissed. Würtz’s dismissal was problematic for two reason; AaB failed to go after a win in Randers and they will be without their captain in this difficult match. The absence of Würtz is just another addition to a AaB team that has been heavily hit by injuries throughout the season. One player could return here; the central defender Rasmus Thelander is doubtful, and he would undoubtedly be a vital player to have back in the defence, when the league top goalscorer Martin Pusic is the opponent. FC Midtjylland (1st) have not looked all too convincing in 2015. Their shots domination stats are only corresponding to a 4th to 6th place in the table. They have been very dominant on set pieces, but otherwise they have played like an ordinary team. Injuries and suspensions could be a partial reason. They have been and are without several important players. For this match, captain and right back Kristian Bach Bak returns from suspension. Striker Morten Duncan and offensive midfielder Petter Andersson are both doubtful. Especially the status of Andersson is important, since FC Midtjylland have no other player that can match his vision and creativity.

The two teams battled intensely for the league title last season, where AaB proved superior. FC Midtjylland have undoubtedly been the better side in this season, but will all their absences and probable absences, they do not look much better than AaB. AaB are always highly motivated for home games, and they surely put up a good fight. Equal game is in store. Note that information regarding the fitness status of Thelander and Andersson can prove important and change the odds.

Recommendation: 1 (DNB) – 2.25 at Tipico

UPDATE: According to local media, regulars Sviatchenko (central defense), Hassan (right wing), Andersson (offensive midfield) and Jim Larsen (central defense) are all doubtful for the match tomorrow. Surely, all of them won't be absent, but it is not an optimal preparation with so many slightly injured players. Furthermore, rotation player Marco Larsen (offensive midfielder) is out with an injury. Looking good for our AaB bet. 

UPDATE v2: Andersson and Jim Larsen are confirmed out. For AaB Rasmus Thelander is out, while striker Helenius is doubtful. Many absences for both teams, but would expect this match to be fairly even.