Randers-Esbjerg

Saturday 8/11 19.00

Randers (4th) have had a poor period when measured by points. Five points in the last five games is not spectacular, but Randers is not a spectacular team. They are a well-organised, physical team that sometimes lack the deciding firepower offensively. This has been exactly the case in these games with Randers not scoring in four out the five matches (they won 3-0 against OB though). Defensively they are rock solid and have only allowed two goals in these matches. Randers are normally very strong at their home pitch. The pitch in Randers has a reputation of being in a poor state, but this is not illogical, since this is in favour of Randers physical approach. Randers will be without central defender Mads Agesen. His absence is likely to be covered by Jeppe Tverskov who did well the last time he got the chance. Esbjerg (8th) are starting to come alive. The 4-1 win at FC Vestsjælland was great, although Esbjerg struggled until they got the first goal randomly. Esbjerg lack the skills to break up a defensive opponent, but when they get space they are deadly. Esbjerg will be without their captain Hans-Henrik Andreasen, and this is not a good match to do without him, since he is the only midfielder with great physique. The other midfielders are small and technical, and Esbjerg will be forced to use the lightweight Fellah on right wing. Fellah is a good footballer, but could suffer from Randers physical approach and the heavy pitch. That should be the fear for Esbjerg: that Randers outmuscles them. This has happened in the past, and the stadium in Randers is not among the favourite stadiums for Esbjerg.

The market has moved quite a lot since it opened (towards Esbjerg victory). We feel it has overdone it. Esbjerg should not be favourites here, despite of their impressive showings lately. Randers are a tough nut to crack and usually a bad match for Esbjerg. Value is in a home win, but covering for the draw is necessary.

Tip of the Week: 1 (DNB) – 2.00 at Unibet

Leaguespy access:
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=40567&a=33624