AaB-FC Copenhagen

Sunday 30/11 19.00

AaB (5th) delivered a terrible performance last weekend in FC Midtjylland (lost 2-0). It was terrible since AaB were looking to take advantage of several FC Midtjylland absences, but instead ended up losing in a match, which the opponent dominated from start to finish. AaB had actually been improving until that match, but it seems like they still struggle a bit with the stability. AaB were without central defender Rasmus Thelander in the match, and he is crucial for the defensive stability. AaB will try to find comfort in the strong performances they deliver at home, and they will undoubtedly have great support Sunday night. Offensive midfielder Thomas Enevoldsen is suspended, while Thelander is doubtful. FC Copenhagen (3rd) are not much better than AaB at the moment. They are also very inconsistent in their performances, although the inconsistency is only a matter of poor or okay performances. They rarely leave you with the impression of having played a really good match. What is lacking? Offense! FC Copenhagen have only scored 15 goals in 15 matches. That is the tied second lowest. Not what to expect from the team with the highest wage budget in the league. Central midfielders Delaney and Poulsen are suspended, but FC Copenhagen have fine alternatives. Notice that both teams played Europa League Thursday night (after this was posted).

The bookies are well aware that this will be a low-scoring match, so the value in this outcome seems to be gone. Instead we would go for an AaB win. AaB are a strong home team, and we do not see why FC Copenhagen deserves to be favourites after a streak of average performances. As a bonus, the last time they met it was also in Aalborg and it ended with a home win (1-0).

Idea: 1 (AH +0) – 2.10 at Bet365