Brøndby-SønderjyskE

Sunday 23/11 17.00

Brøndby (5th) are difficult to figure out. They started a great streak, but finished it by losing 3-0 in Hobro in the last round. It is worth considering though that Brøndby failed after Daniel Agger was substituted with an injury. Agger’s presence is vital for the stability of Brøndby’s defence. Agger’s condition is still unclear (was forced to skip Denmark matches during the week), but it is obvious for everyone that alternatives Albrechtsen or Semb Berge are much weaker. Offensively, Swedish striker Johan Elmander is in doubt. It should not pose a big problem, since Elmander has struggled to find the net. Brøndby should find confidence in their strong home record (five wins out of seven). SønderjyskE (8th) have only lost two matches out of 14, but are despite of this not in top half. They have simply lacked cynicism, why nine of their matches have ended in a draw. What they do on the pitch is excellent. They have a solid backbone with some experienced defenders. The midfield is a good combination of routine and speed, while the strikers are potentially deadly (Pourie and Bechmann). Unfortunately, striker Pourie is suspended here, so it should only be a “SønderjyskE light”-offense that arrives in Brøndby on Sunday.

Although Brøndby’s defensive stability is very dependent on the participation of Daniel Agger, we believe that a less than 2.5 goal bet is quite interesting. Pourie is out for sure, and both teams have had a lot of low-scoring matches: five out of seven Brøndby home matches and six out of seven SønderjyskE away matches have finished with under 2.5 goals. Another low-scoring match could be awaiting here. If Agger is out a bet on SønderjyskE not to lose is also tempting (we will post new information when available).

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.98 at Unibet

Idea: 2 (AH +0.5) – 2.10 at Unibet

UPDATE: Agger is likely to play. Elmander will probably not play.

For Leaguespy:
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=41211&a=33624