7. nov. 2014

Hobro-Brøndby


Sunday 9/11 17.00
Hobro (7th) have not won in seven matches, and a quick conclusion would be that the opponents are finally on to them and no longer underestimates their quality. The key offensive players Quincy Antipas and Mads Hvilsom have also dropped in form. On the positive side is the consistency. Hobro have been largely unhurt by injuries and suspensions for key players, and this is vital if they are to survive in the league in this season. Winger Martin Mikkelsen is suspended though (but not one of the important players). They will undoubtedly try to win this match through a very physical approach, which worked in their last match (same pitch) where Hobro won 2-0. Brøndby (3rd) have changed several things since that loss. The two most important things are the addition of Daniel Agger that adds stability to the backline (team have not conceded in the last three matches!) and the addition of striker Teemu Pukki (five goals in seven matches). Pukki will be an improvement to former striker Simon Makienok in a match against Hobro, where speed in the front line is a superior force. They were able to overcome the physique of Randers last weekend, and a similar effort here will give problems for Hobro.

It is a match between two teams at each end of the momentum table. Brøndby should have superior quality to win this match. Hobro have also displayed a tendency to lose with more than one when they do lose, so a win by more than one is interesting.

Recommendation:  2 (AH -1) – 2.12 at Unibet

For our Danish followers (bet only available with Danish bookie):

Vi har lagt et #Twitbets spil op tidligere, hvor vi opfordrer til at spille på Hobro til at lukke 46 eller flere mål ind i denne sæson. Bet25 giver odds 2,35 for dette udfald, og vi tøver ikke med at give det 50% sandsynlighed. Hobro snitter pt. 1,46 mål per snit, og med dette snit lander de på 48 indkasserede mål. Eftersom Hobro virker til at dale meget i forhold til de første runder (modstandere har luret dem osv.), så har vi svært ved at finde argumenter for at dette snit skulle forbedre sig i den resterende del af sæsonen. Med andre ord et super spil!

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