AaB-FC Vestsjælland

Sunday 9/11 15.00

AaB (6th) face the challenging task of competing in three competitions at the same time (league, cup and Europa League) and combined with a long list of injuries, it is mission impossible to be successful everywhere. The end result: AaB are semi-successful in what they do: placed in the middle of the table in the league, advancing in the cup through 120 minutes football and 2 wins out of 4 in Europa League. It was evident that AaB prioritized Europa League in the past week. They fielded a semi “B”-team in the league Monday (won nevertheless 2-0 against Silkeborg) followed by fielding the best team at Dynamo Kiev on Thursday (lost 2-0 but put in a good effort). With the 3rd game within a week awaiting the question is what they will do. Our guess is that AaB might have to rest a few players (alternatively, field a team with fatigued players). All the rotation is naturally not good for AaB who according to our stats on ability to create chances are only surpassing FC Vestsjælland (see our quality/luck graph on Twitter). FC Vestsjælland (10th) have some similarities to a poorly constructed house at the moment. They surely fall apart easily, and have only been able to come from behind and gain points in one match all season. In the past three weeks the 1-4 home against Esbjerg and 0-5 at Brøndby are concerning. FC Vestsjælland started the season with great energy under the new head coach Michael Hansen, but that energy appears gone now. They especially struggle in away matches (lost six out of seven – and only managed to beat Silkeborg luckily). As they play at the moment they deserve to be a part of the relegation race, and it is difficult to find positives.

Two teams that are challenged at the moment! AaB are challenged by their match schedule, while FC Vestsjælland are challenged by own poor performances. There is too much uncertainty surrounding how AaB will line-up, so we will not recommend betting on a home win here. Instead the under 2.5 goals bet looks interesting. Both teams are struggling with the chance creation.

Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 2.02 at Unibet