OB-FC Nordsjælland

Sunday 23/11 14.00

Last year it was Denmark’s second biggest city Aarhus who lost their football team in the Superliga (AGF). This year it could be the third biggest city’s turn, since OB (11th) from Odense are in an unhealthy state. The poor morale was visible in midweek training where one of the key players Emil Larsen were about to start a fight with one of the squad’s youngsters. Pressure is high and performance is low appears to be the conclusion on OB’s season so far. OB have a lot of problems at the moment. The individualists are not performing, and the overall teamwork is not good enough either. Despite of these current concerns the team should be strong enough to avoid relegation, but it could be that a winter break is needed to reboot the morale. OB have some injuries, but not for the regulars. FC Nordsjælland (6th) are in poor form. Two points in the last five matches is not good (not scoring in four of these). The drop in form has collided with a drop in performance level from the two wingers Uffe Bech and Joshua John. FC Nordsjælland are very dependent of their offensive work if they are to suceed. For this match FC Nordsjælland will face several problems, since four players are suspended. Right back Mario Ticinovic and central defender Ivan Runje are out, and with young Andreas Maxsø as only obvious alternative for both positions, coach Kristjansson is forced to invent something. Central midfielder Martin Vingaard (will be replaced by Søren Christensen who is returning from suspension) and striker Morten Nordstrand (not a regular at the moment) are also absent. Add to this that FC Nordsjælland typically are a significantly weaker away than at home (only team with artificial pitch).

OB are in a terrible condition, but they get a lot of help with all the suspensions for FC Nordsjælland. What remains is a very even match where OB on paper should be better (our evaluation). Therefore we would rather pick the home win here.

Idea: 1 (AH +0) – 1.975 at Bet365
 

For Leaguespy:
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=41210&a=33624
UPDATE: OB midfielders Emil Larsen and Martin Spelmann might both be out. In that case, value should be on the away side!