Silkeborg-FC Vestsjælland

Friday 24/10 18.30

Silkeborg (12th) are not a lucky team. Eleven matches into the season they are still without a victory. They have actually played some fine matches recently and it would not have been unfair if they had gained points at OB or FC Midtjylland. They are continuously struggling with very poor finishing: they only score on 12% of their shots on target (league average is 26%). It is clear that the strikers lack confidence. Silkeborg are indeed creating chances, and based on this productivity they should be around 7-8th in the table. Silkeborg lack a player with individual abilities to make decisive things. Silkeborg will be without strong central defender Dennis Flinta. Captain Frank Hansen is expected to return to cover the right wing. FC Vestsjælland (10th) have very poor momentum after some rather weak performances lately (capped by the 5-0 in Brøndby last weekend). It is somewhat odd since all the important players are fit at the moment (despite long-term injured Michael Lumb). FC Vestsjælland are especially struggling in the away matches. They have lost all six away matches and not really deserved anything else. The defence is clearly struggling here, and they lack some energy from the offense, where only Rasmus Festersen has something to offer. On the positive side, the two teams met two months ago in Slagelse (hometown of FC Vestsjælland), where FC Vestsjælland were the only team on the pitch and could have won bigger than the actual 2-0. It could be that FC Vestsjælland are a poor match for Silkeborg, although they are quite similar in type of players and formation used (3-5-2).

One thing is sure in this match: one team will break a habit. Silkeborg have not won a match yet, while FC Vestsjælland have not earned a single point in away matches. For us, the bookies seem to have overvalued Silkeborg a bit here. We expect a very even match, where Silkeborg should be slight favourites, but nothing more. Silkeborg are really weak in finishing and they looked poor the last time they faced FC Vestsjælland. Both defences have been quite generous lately, so an over bet could also be interesting at current prices.

Ideas: 2 (AH +0.25) – 1.98 at Bet365

Over 2.5 goals – 2.14 at Betfair