Randers-OB

Sunday 26/10 14.00

Randers (3rd) missed out on a great opportunity to become a title candidate by losing 1-0 in Parken (against FC Copenhagen). Instead several rivals have now caught them, and they will have to get back to winning ways in order to keep up. Randers have not won in the last three matches. They looked without ideas in Parken, and they tend to struggle when they are pushed forward to attack. Randers are strong team nevertheless, but they have their prime abilities in physique and hard work, not in creativity or offensive efficiency. The result is many low-scoring matches (9 out of 11 under 2.5 goals!). Randers’ solid goalkeeper Kalle Johnsson might be out due to a shoulder injury. Ogmundur Kristinsson could make his first start instead. Otherwise no reported injuries. OB (11th) are in a bad situation after the deserved 2-0 defeat in Esbjerg. The mood is low after a string of poor performances, and new coach Ove Pedersen will have to do his utmost to improve the situation. One of the few things to base optimism on is the return of key midfielder Rasmus Falk. Falk has a talismanic effect on OB and his talented teammate winger Emil Larsen (who has been poor in the absence of Falk). OB will defend here and rely on counter-attacks where the speed of Falk and Larsen will be the weapon. OB won in Randers in the previous meeting (2-0).

Randers could be on a downtrend, but OB is already on the bottom. That being said odds 1.85 for home win here is not splendid. OB could potentially be boosted by Falk’s return, and Randers are having problems in front of goal. We would pick under here.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.89 at Betfair