FC Midtjylland-Silkeborg

Sunday 19/10 14.00

FC Midtjylland (1st) are on the run and question is if anyone will catch them. They have been very strong this season despite of many injuries. They are dominating their matches in an extent that no other clubs can match (SoTR(explanation here) 67% - next best 56%). With the return of striker Morten Duncan Rasmussen (scored a hattrick in last round) to full fitness, FC Midtjylland look frighteningly strong (won 5-1 in Hobro last round). They are still quite unlucky when it comes to injuries. Strong central defender Erik Sviatchenko is the newest addition to the injury list, which also counts winger Rilwan Hassan and central defender Jim Larsen. On the positive side, right back (and captain) Kristian Bach Bak could return to the starting line-up here. In total FC Midtjylland still have a very strong team with some dangerous weapons offensively (Duncan, Andersson, Igboun and Sisto). Silkeborg (12th) are stuck in the bottom and only the most optimistic Silkeborg supporters believe that they will survive. Silkeborg have lacked efficiency in front of goal (scoring on 11% of their shots on target – league average is 26%). This was highlighted in their last match against OB (lost 2-0) where Silkeborg were the better team, but failed to score despite of having great chances (even missed a penalty). Based on the ability to create chances they are actually decent, but when midfielder Emil Scheel (scored four out of five Silkeborg goals) appears to be the only one able to score, the outlook is concerning. Silkeborg have not scored in an away match in this season (five matches)! H2H statistic is the only one pointing in the favour of Silkeborg: they have not lost in the last seven matches against FC Midtjylland! Do not put too much in to this as most of the matches are years back in time.

FC Midtjylland are giant favourites here, and we would be surprised if they do not win. Silkeborg will probably give up a good fight, but the opponent seems too strong here. The speedy FC Midtjylland wingers against the slow Silkeborg defence are a good match-up for the home side. Silkeborg not to score could also be interesting (played five away games without scoring!)

Recommendation: 1 (AH -1.5) – 2.35 at Unibet

Idea: Silkeborg to score under 0.5 goals – 2.16 at Unibet

Leaguespy preview can be found here:
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=39081&a=33624