FC Nordsjælland-AaB

Monday 27/10 19.00

FC Nordsjælland (2nd) have had a brilliant start to the season but the last three matches have been quite poor. They barely managed to win at home against a weak OB team (2-1), followed by a quite lucky 0-0 in Randers and last weekend they lost at home to SønderjyskE (2-3) in a fairly even match. FC Nordsjælland are very dependent on the performance of wingers Uffe Bech and Joshua John. Bech was substituted early against SønderjyskE with an injury but he should be back for this match, while John hasn’t been performing at his best in the last few matches. FC Nordsjælland could benefit from the possible return of left back and captain Patrick Mtiliga on left back. FC Nordsjælland’s defence is not very good, so Mtiliga is needed for stability. Another important player for stability is defensive midfielder Anders Christiansen, who is suspended here. This is an important absence. AaB (8th) have not been good in the league. The performances have been largely poor. Things could be improving though. AaB won in midweek 3-0 against Dynamo Kiev. It was an impressive win that could boost confidence for AaB, who surely have the ability to do better in the league. With players like Helenius and Enevoldsen returning to old form, AaB could advance quickly in the table. AaB have a strong midfield and we expect it to be able to dominate against a FC Nordsjælland midfield weakened by the absence of Christiansen.

We believe that FC Nordsjælland could get problems here against an AaB team boosted by their fine performance in midweek. Quality wise AaB should be stronger here, and although the artificial field is always a clear advantage for FC Nordsjælland, we believe the bookies have given them too much credit here.

Recommendation: 2 – 3.40 at Bet365

UPDATE: Enevoldsen is out for AaB, who looks to make several changes to the starting line-up. We are unsure how the reaction will be. We are no longer as confident with respect to our recommendation. You can see the expected line-ups through the Leaguespy access below.

Free Leaguespy access for the match here:
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=39681&a=33624