27. aug. 2014

Hobro-FC Vestsjælland


Monday 1/9 19.00
Hobro (2nd) are in a magnificent position, but the truth is that they have been extremely efficient. As we stated in the review, Hobro are the “luckiest” team in the league (they hold a scoring percentage of 36% compared to a league average of 26% and a saving percentage of 88% compared to a league average of 76%). Well, they are a solid team with a nice team spirit and some capable offensive players (Antipas and Hvilsom). They are largely a counter attacking team just like their opponents here. No reported injuries. FC Vestsjælland (5th) have showed some offensive promise, but this has partially been due to the addition of strong winger Anders Due. Unfortunately, Anders Due was injured in a midweek cup match, and is very likely to be out here. A blow for FC Vestsjælland, since Due is an important creative force for FC Vestsjælland’s offense. FC Vestsjælland are nevertheless a solid team with a lot of physique. They will be tough to beat.

We believe that Hobro will be unable to maintain their high position. But with the news that Due is probably out, we do not find value in FC Vestsjælland at current odds. Instead a bet on draw is obvious and would be satisfactory to both teams.

Idea: X – 3.40 at Tipico

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