25. mar. 2014

Viborg-Brøndby


Sunday 30/3 17.00
Viborg (10th) must really love FC Vestsjælland. They have met them three times this season with a maximum 9 points to follow. Last weekend they could easily have won with great margin (1-0) had it not been for the FC Vestsjælland keeper. Viborg are a team that we must conclude are well suited against a team like a physical FC Vestsjælland. They get into more difficulties when they face quick and technically strong teams (like Brøndby). There must be some optimism in Viborg though. After 9 matches without a victory they finally got one and they deserved it. Their squad is in a good condition and the suspension to midfielder Rømer is without importance since he is normally only a substitute. We like the addition of Brazilian Wilton Figueiredo as offensive midfielder, he is a quality playmaker and has the abilities to make striker Dalgaard even more dangerous. Brøndby (4th) suffered a disappointing defeat at home against OB (1-2). Brøndby were not able to cope with the many absences in the central midfield and the solution with winger Hasani did not do very well. The midfield issues will not diminish for this match. Even though Lebogang Phiri is returning from suspension, his place in the suspension sofa will be taken by Martin Ørnskov. Our expectation is that Brøndby will try another midfield constellation, which will be more successful than the one last week (our solution: Holst to midfield, Almebäck to right back). Brøndby benefit from the return of central defender Martin Albrechtsen. The duo of Stenderup and Dumic has not been impressive so it is an important addition. Offensively Brøndby are still capable of creating many chances and with striker Makienok improving from week to week they will only become more dangerous.

It is a meeting between two teams on each end of the momentum scale. Nevertheless we believe that Brøndby will have the best chances of a win here, since they have a good match-up against a Viborg team that struggle against technical opponents. Odds for 1X2 seem fair. But the O/U 2.5 goals market is more attractive. The odds for over 2.5 goals at 1.95 should be worth a bet.

Idea: Over 2.5 goals – 1.95 at Bet365

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