FC Nordsjælland-AGF

Monday 31/3 19.00

FC Nordsjælland (7th) shocked the world (okay, maybe just football fans in Denmark) by taking their only 2nd away win in 11 attempts against FC Midtjylland (1-0). Actually the only other team they have beaten away is AGF so this seems like a good match-up for FC Nordsjælland. That FC Nordsjælland have earned any points can be credited Kim Aabech. The stand-in striker has scored 4 out of 6 FCN goals in 2014. The situation in Nordsjælland is improving due to the fact that several players are returning from injuries. They are still several players away from the best possible line-up but they currently have a team capable of challenging any team in the league. Unfortunately left back Patrick Mtiliga is suspended. Mtiliga is a good player and a team leader so his absence could be visible. AGF (8th) were terrible at home against Esbjerg last weekend (0-3). They showed no passion and were totally dominated. AGF have been terrible at home lately. If you add a cup match they have lost the last three home matches with 3-12 in total. The home audience has completely lost belief and it is reinforcing the lack of confidence for the home players. AGF have been better when playing away (won the last two). AGF will have midfielder Danny Olsen and defender Anders Kure back from suspension. They are probably the two most important players for AGF so you should not expect to see an AGF team at similar poor level as last weekend. AGF lost winger Stephan Petersen to a serious ankle injury in the last match. Petersen has been underperforming for a while so despite of the tragic event it will probably not weaken AGF much.

FC Nordsjælland are a strong home team, while AGF are a decent away team. Momentum is on FC Nordsjælland’s side so they must be clear favourites. We believe that the current odds are fair, but if you are looking for a Monday bet, we would go for the home win.

Idea: 1 – 1.80 at Unibet