8. okt. 2013

Week 11 round-up (plus #Twitbets)

 Two things on the agenda:
  • Round-up
  • Introduction of #Twitbets
Round-up
We had a surplus on our recommendations this week due to AGF's comeback against Randers. We are naturally happy about this, but we would have wished for more luck with our Tip of the Week and our ideas. On the bright side: the odds movement was very good after our picks (odds decreasing) signalling that we found the valuable bets. So hang on. Tip of the Week should rebound soon.

 #Twitbets
We have made several successful extra bets on Twitter lately, including Emil Larsen to score (odds 5) and AGF first to substitute (1.9). We believe that these late bets, which arrive typically within the last hour before match start (where line-ups are available) will be valuable. But since we want to do our payback statistics fairly, we decided only to include those picks which we tagged #Twitbets. We have only made one of these which was yesterday and this pick was successful. You can always find these bets on our Twitter profile or searching for #Twitbets.

Due to break for international matches the next previews will not arrive until next week.

Round 11 Hit Rate Total (units) ROI
Tip of the Week 0% -1,00 0%
Recommendations 50% 1,40 170%
Recommendations Total 33% 0,40 113%
Ideas 25% -2,49 38%
#Twitbets 100% 0,34 134%




Total Hit Rate Total (units) ROI
Tip of the Week 20% -2,10 58%
Recommendations 40% 0,79 108%
Recommendations Total 33% -1,31 91%
Ideas 37% -3,61 81%
#Twitbets 100% 0,34 134%

To understand the tabels:
Hit rate: Percentage of bets that have ended with a win
Total (units): We flat-bet one unit per bet. A plus of 2,12 units would mean that you have won 2,12 x value of one unit for you.
ROI: Is the return on investment. In our terminology, a ROI of 110% would mean that you for a bet of 100 units would have gotten 110 in return.

Ingen kommentarer:

Send en kommentar