FC Midtjylland-Randers

Saturday 19/10 17.00

FC Midtjylland (1st) are losing their grip of the first place after three consecutive winless games. The last loss of points was however more stupid than due to poor performance. A (wrong) red card, an own goal and a goal in stoppage time led to a disappointing 2-2 draw against promoted FC Vestsjælland. The match had some consequences as well. Ball-winner Izunna is now suspended, while Hedinsson’s return led to a small setback with regard to his injury. With Petter Andersson doubtful as well, FC Midtjylland are potentially without three central midfielders. In that case they could be forced to do some repositioning by either moving offensive midfielders or defenders to the central position. Nevertheless a concerning evolvement for FC Midtjylland since Randers normally field a strong central midfield with Keller and Bjarnason. Randers (10th) are underperforming based on their squad. Coach Todd tried to switch goalkeeper in their last match, but this had limited success. The potential “white prince”, striker Djiby Fall got a long-term injury so things are not that uplifting. However the injury situation is actually quite good with no other important players in danger of missing this match. When fielding their best eleven Randers should stand a good chance against FC Midtjylland, but the question is whether they will be able to break down the strong Midtjylland defence. In that case they have to win the battle for the central midfield. In order to avoid conceding the match-up between quick winger Igboun and right back Thomsen is key with Igboun being the immediate favourite.

There are a lot of interesting match-ups in this match that will decide the end product. If we look at the odds: we find that Randers stand a better chance than the bookies give them. We base this on their likely midfield superiority. FC Midtjylland are natural favourites, but 2.25 is a good offer for them not winning. And we are very close to recommending it.

Idea: 2(AH +0.5) – 2.25 Mermaidbet