FC Copenhagen-FC Vestsjælland

Saturday 8/12 17.00

FC Copenhagen (3rd) are a team on the rise. We believe they are the strongest team in the league right now. They proved it with their secure win at Brøndby (3-1), where they simply were on another level than their opponents. Unfortunately for FC Copenhagen, their best player by a mile this season, attacker/midfielder Nicolai Jørgensen left the match with an injury and we are almost certain that he will not be a part of this match. Jørgensen has had a talismanic effect on FC Copenhagen. In the matches he has played FC Copenhagen have won six, drawed six and lost only one. In the four matches he has been absent they have one win and three losses! It has to be mentioned that the three losses were under former coach, Ariel Jacobs, but the importance of Jørgensen is still huge. He has scored six goals and made five assists this autumn. FC Copenhagen are also without less important midfielder Daniel Braaten. FC Vestsjælland (8th) will stay up. Or at least we think they will. They have an average team, capable of giving a good fight to any team in the league, and with all their veterans they rarely get a beating. Last weekend they were a bit unlucky against league leaders FC Midtjylland and lost due to an own goal (0-1). They were the better team; had most possession and created more chances. They will benefit from the return of defender Lasse Nielsen. The last time the two teams met in Parken it ended 1-1.

Without Nicolai Jørgensen FC Copenhagen look more like an ordinary team. Two weekends ago the bookies offered better odds for a FC Copenhagen victory at home against a worse team, Viborg. With a weaker squad this time, we see no value in the home win, although it is naturally the most probably outcome. Our ideas would be to bet either on few goals or on the away team (safest with handicap).

Ideas: 2 (AH +1.5) – 1.83 Betfair

Under 2.5 goals – 2.34 Betfair