Thoughts for Week 6

Time has been sparse this week, so no detailed previews this time around. Instead, I will just share my thoughts for every match:

Hobro-FC Nordsjælland
This match will be all about motivation. Hobro are surely motivated, but FC Nordsjælland have the better team. However, they often struggle with motivation away from home, and if Hobro are able to psych them out with a physical style, they could suffer another away loss. Hobro have had one really good game this season, but it was against a team that was resembling FC Nordsjælland. I would go for the home side if anything here, although their recent form is not remarkable, but FC Nordsjælland's poor morale and away performance scares me. However, the best bet seem to be the strong striker Mayron George to score. He starts alone on top and he will finish when possible. His size and physique could also be a problem for Maxsø and Gregor in the FC Nordsjælland defence.

Idea: George to score - odds 5.00 at Nordicbet

Randers-Viborg
Local rivalry. Randers with very complete team and a good start to the season. They are clear favorites here, but minus that they sold striker Brock-Madsen to Birmingham during the week. Unclear if replacement Ishak is in good form after his injury. Viborg struggling to create something offensively other than from set pieces, which Randers are fairly good at. Viborg are strong at the back nevertheless (don't put too much into the 0-4 defeat to Brøndby). Under is not interesting at the price as an early goal really could make this match explosive. Personally I skip this match, but if I had to make a pick I would go for Viborg not to lose big here.

Idea: 2 (AH +1) - 1.69 at Unibet

Brøndby-SønderjyskE
These teams are on each end of the morale scale: SønderjyskE with a very strong start to the season, while Brøndby have been terrible and lost 5-0 at PAOK Saloniki in midweek. That alone should be enough to place a bet on SønderjyskE at 4.10. However, SønderjyskE are also a strong counter-attacking team. They are physically strong and they could really hurt Brøndby's fragile defence. Brøndby with a very attacking formation, which seems a bit dangerous in my opinion given SønderjyskE's counter-attacking strength. SønderjyskE with some injuries, but mainly a problem for the strength of the bench.

Tip of the Week: 2 - 4.10 at Unibet

FC Copenhagen-AGF
This will be interesting. FC Copenhagen without two of the normal midfield starters, Verbic and Amartey. Not all too impressed by their midfield today, but they have a strong attack that should cause problems for AGF. AGF with a defensive approach, but they a rather weak backline. They will hope that their solid midfield can save them. I have some doubts. In any case, I believe this match will be low scoring. FC Copenhagen rarely go for big wins and AGF's offense is not spectacular.

Idea: Under 2.5 - 1.95 at Bet365

Esbjerg-FC Midtjylland
Not very impressed by Esbjerg. I think they were lucky to get their first win in FC Nordsjælland, scoring twice on three shots on target. Still a very weak back line and only playing with one striker in order to protect the defense. FC Midtjylland resting half the team in order to be ready to the rematch versus Southampton next week. Difficult match to assess as this FC Midtjylland team have not played together, but I still see them as slim favorites here.

Idea: 2 (AH +0) - 1.90 at Bet365

AaB-OB
AaB in strongest line-up. Würtz and Pedersen are returning and they look very strong. OB with very weak backline. Diarra is set to start in the central defence and he has no sense of defensive organisation, perhaps that is the reason they have lost the last eight matches with him as a starter. Add to this that OB's offensive profile Rasmus Falk has a minor injury that could hamper his performance. In any case, it will be a match where both teams seem stronger offensively than defensively, so goals should be in store here.

Recommendation: 1 - 2.00 at Tipico
Idea: Over 2.5 goals - 1.82 at Betfair

Will be updated with other matches later.