Randers-FC Midtjylland

Friday 13/3 18.30

Randers (3rd) have had a tough week. Three losses in a row including a loss to Silkeborg on home soil and a cup exit on penalties leave Randers in a demoralised state. They have actually played fine matches and surely deserved more. They have a very solid team, are well-organised, and importantly: they are almost free of injuries. The only concern is the strong right back Johnny Thomsen who missed the last match. His probable absence is especially problematic since FC Midtjylland have some great wingers. Randers might re-use the young 17-year old Mikke Kallesøe on the position, but this would be a gutsy move. FC Midtjylland (1st) are winning without playing good football. They are just a too good team to lose at the moment. They have so many good players, so even on bad days they manage to win. It is especially their abilities on set pieces that have saved them: six out of seven goals in 2015 have been from set pieces! For this match, they will be without the strong midfielder Petter Andersson who is suspended. FC Midtjylland have solid back-ups but Andersson is an influential player why his absence could hurt FC Midtjylland.

FC Midtjylland are without some important offensive players (Sisto and Andersson), and need a good day from Igboun. This is probable if Thomsen is absent for Randers. If not, Randers could have a fine chance of matching FC Midtjylland who are not a great away side. Randers should be very motivated to get some points before they lose the vital 3rd place, and we should expect an eager Randers side. Despite of the offensive absences for FC Midtjylland, the odds on over are still interesting. I doubt we will see any of the teams take a defensive approach here, and a match with goals is probable(seven of last eight league H2H’s have gone over 2.5 goals!).

Ideas: 1 (AH +0.25) – 1.875 at Bet365

Over 2.5 goals – 2.20 at Ladbrokes

UPDATE:
Right back Thomsen ruled out for Randers. Not good for home bet, but nice for over, since winger Igboun will have a easier day against anyone else.