FC Midtjylland-Hobro

Saturday 21/3 17.00

FC Midtjylland (1st) have actually been quite average in their performances so far in 2015. They have earned 10 out of 12 possible points, but the play has been poor and they have only survived due to their force in set pieces. 8 out of 9 goals scored in 2015 have come from set pieces! This won’t be easy to continue against Hobro who are strong at set pieces. FC Midtjylland rank only 7th in SoTR after the first four matches in 2014 (SoTR: 48.6%). They have clearly suffered without the strong winger Pione Sisto who is injured. They should benefit from the return of strong midfielder Petter Andersson here, but striker Morten Duncan is out with an injury. However, FC Midtjylland have the league top goalscorer, Martin Pusic, as a back-up so no major concern. The last time FC Midtjylland met Hobro they smashed them 5-1 with Duncan and Sisto scoring four goals. Hobro were without talismanic defensive midfielder Damborg in that match, so things could be very different this time around. Hobro (7th) are making a remarkable performance. After three wins in a row the club from small-town Hobro (11.000 inhabitants) are closer to European qualification than relegation. They have done so with a magnificent defending display, only one goal conceded in 2015. At the same time, they are the team with fewest shots on target allowed in 2015: 10.  They are still struggling to get their offense in gear, but with players like Hvilsom and Antipas, they have some players who are capable of scoring out of nowhere.

Hobro have been strong in defence and FC Midtjylland have lacked offensive power. This looks like a under match, although the last match between the two teams scares. However, Hobro are in the strongest line-up and appears to have improved, while FC Midtjylland have definitely been more dangerous than now. FC Midtjylland should win this, but it could easily end 1-0 or 2-0.

Idea: Under 2.5 goals – 2.00 at Bet365