4. dec. 2014

FC Copenhagen-FC Midtjylland


Sunday 7/12 19.00
FC Copenhagen (3rd) need to win here. Otherwise they can forget about claiming the title. We should therefore see an FC Copenhagen team that is willing to gamble if the score is all square in second half. FC Copenhagen are playing pretty average football at the moment. They are relatively solid at the back, but they struggle with the offensive production. They will find some optimism in the great goal scored by Andreas Cornelius last weekend. Cornelius has had a poor season until now, and this has been of great importance since he is usually playing the lone striker position. FC Copenhagen will benefit from the return of midfielders Christian Poulsen and Thomas Delaney from suspension. In that light it should not be a huge problem that fellow midfielder Daniel Amartey is suspended for this match. FC Midtjylland (1st) performed poorly last Monday, but won 2-1 anyway (against FC Vestsjælland). They are a top team; they win even on the bad days. FC Midtjylland’s brilliant offense had a difficult day against the very defensive FC Vestsjælland. They will have more space here, and this could be dangerous for FC Copenhagen, since the likes of Pione Sisto and Sylvester Igboun are not easily stopped. FC Midtjylland face a few challenges though. Right back and captain Kristian Bak Bach and central midfielder Tim Sparv are both suspended. Although FC Midtjylland have alternatives of similar quality, they do not have the same experience and calmness that will important in an intense game like this. FC Midtjylland have won the last two away matches in Parken (2-1 and 5-1).

We expect a great match here. FC Copenhagen have to win, and FC Midtjylland thrive in matches where they get space. We believe that FC Midtjylland have some individual qualities that FC Copenhagen cannot match currently, and this could easily be decisive. We see value in goals and the away side here.

Ideas: Over 2.5 goals – 2.15 at Tipico
2 (DNB) – 2.33 at Unibet

UPDATE: FC Midtjylland will be without striker Morten Duncan Rasmussen. An important player, but FC Midtjylland have dealt well in his absence (Ureña is likely to start). 

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