4. dec. 2014

Brøndby-Silkeborg


Sunday 7/12 17.00
Brøndby (4th) are playing like shit at the moment (to put it gently). They were lucky to only lose by 2-0 in FC Nordsjælland (should have been 6-1’ish – worth mentioning that Brøndby were playing with 10 men for most of the game). In midweek they fielded most of the best team in a cup home match against a club ranked two divisions under. Brøndby had to play 120 minutes before taking a slim win (2-1). Part of the reason for the poor performance is the absence of talismanic defender Daniel Agger. When Agger is playing, Brøndby are solid at the back and playing with more confidence in general. When Agger is not playing the team looks fragile and bleak. Agger is doubtful for this match, while his normal companion in the central Dario Dumic is suspended here. If Agger cannot play Brøndby will field a rather unimpressive central defence. Unimpressive is also the state of the pitch in Brøndby, which is completely ruined and not suited for passing football. Silkeborg (12th) are positioned like shit, but are actually not playing that bad. Sure, they have the occasional bad day, but in general they play pretty even matches. The main problem is the offensive inefficiency, which is insane. Silkeborg have scored 11% of their shots on target! League average is 25%, and the second lowest registered inefficiency is SønderjyskE/FC Nordsjælland at 21%. It is obvious that the offensive players have no confidence in terms of finishing. Silkeborg actually create a lot, but they never experience being ahead, since they never score. For this match, Silkeborg will be without one of their best performing players, left wingback Nicolaj Ritter who is suspended.

Two teams playing without confidence at a terrible pitch. An under bet looks interesting here. Both clubs have only scored twice in the last five league matches. Stay tuned for info on the condition of Agger. If he is out a bet in the direction of Silkeborg could be worth a shot.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals – 1.87 at Betsafe

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