Viborg-FC Copenhagen

Thursday 8/5 18.00

Viborg (11th) are not in a good position after the slim defeat to SønderjyskE last weekend (0-1). They have a difficult remaining schedule and with their poor performances this season optimism is limited. According to our stats, Viborg have a SoTR of only 35% in 2014 compared to 38% in autumn 2013. The latter was even the worst record in 2013, so it is worrying that Viborg are even worse in 2014. But even though they are poor at defending and poor at creating chances compared to the rest of the league, they still have the league top goalscorer Thomas Dalgaard (17 goals out of Viborg’s 40). Dalgaard’s efficiency is the main reason for Viborg having a shot at survival this season. Viborg are troubled by two injuries and two suspended players. Right back Stoor is out, but his replacement Pallesen is decent. Worse is the situation in the central midfield, where the two normal starters, Lerager and Gotfredsen, both are unavailable. Obvious replacements Nagel and Rømer are not bad, but changing the entire midfield engine might give some starting problems. Another concern is the absence of suspended captain, Mikkel Rask (central defender). He will be replaced by Jacob Egeris, who has started several matches, but naturally it is a blow to lose the captain. FC Copenhagen (3rd) delivered a fine display in the second half against Brøndby (1-1), where they took control of the match. They lack something offensively though. Strikers Vetokele and Cornelius are not clicking at the moment, and the most dangerous FC Copenhagen player is in fact winger Daniel Braaten. The midfield is doing fine though, especially in taking control of the matches. The news of the possible return of playmaker Nicolai Jørgensen is vital though, since he might be able to add some much needed creativity. The previous H2H’s of the season have both ended 4-1 to FC Copenhagen.

Viborg without their central midfield against a solid FC Copenhagen that lacks offensive firepower. We expect a match with a large overweight in possesion to the away team, that should win despite of their offensive woes. Odds are nothing special though, so you should probably consider skipping this match.

Idea: 2 – 1.70 at Unibet