10. maj 2014

FC Vestsjælland-AaB


Sunday 11/5 17.00
FC Vestsjælland (9th) are practically saved after a 2-1 win against AGF. They will still need a single point to be sure and this should probably make sure that they are motivated for this match. Striker Ofere returns from suspension giving FC Vestsjælland the possibility of taking an offensive approach, but we highly doubt they will do so. Coach Ove Pedersen knows that his team’s chances are greatest against AaB if they stick to a very defensive approach. They will probably have to do without strong left back, Michael Lumb, who rarely is able to play consecutive matches. AaB (1st) could be the league champions if the results are perfect this Sunday. Naturally, they should be highly motivated for taking a win here. In the last match at FC Nordsjælland they were without key offensive players Risgård and Jönsson and even managed to win 4-2. Risgård could return for this match, which will improve AaB’s midfield remarkably. Despite AaB’s strong offense (have scored the most goals in the league this season) it will not be an easy task scoring against FC Vestsjælland. In the two previous meetings of the season they have only scored once! FC Vestsjælland have lots of physique which tends to give AaB’s small players problems.

At first sight it seems like an obvious away win, but AaB might struggle against a defence that is difficult to break up. If AaB gets the first goal quickly, then they should be home safe, but the longer the match gets the more difficult will it be for AaB to break up FC Vestsjælland’s defence. So we are a bit in doubt as to whether we should pick the draw or the 2/2 HT/FT. We decide to take second possibility but keep it as in idea only.

Idea: HT/FT 2/2 – 2.66 at Betfair

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