27. nov. 2013

Esbjerg fB-AaB

Monday 2/12 19.00
As if things could not get worse for last year’s cup winners, Esbjerg (11th) lost away against the relegation favourites SønderjyskE. With the suspension of captain and defender Kian Hansen they have to try with another constellation in the central defence with Jens Berthel Askou and Davidson Drobo-Ampem. Hansen is a top defender and have received an international call-up this autumn so it is a weakened defence. A mid-week match in Europa League will not help them either in their quest for points. The central midfield is also tested. Magnus Lekven, Martin Bergvold and Jeppe Andersen are all out due to injury in the match in Europa League. This could mean that the youngster Jakob Andreasen might get his first league start. Looking at the last five matches Esbjerg have been the worse team in this duel. A saving percentage of 59.05% and a scoring percentage of only 8.7% are by far the worst stats in the league. Looking at the last five matches AaB (2nd) have not lost a match. Last week they could have taken the top spot but had to settle for a draw (1-1 vs. FC Nordsjælland). Defender Lasse Nielsen is out due to suspension but the backup is Rasmus Thelander who is a former starter so the defence is weaker but in a critical state. At the front the offence have played well. In the last five matches AaB have the third highest scoring percentage with 29.63%. Especially winger Kasper Kusk has been unstoppable and he capped it off with a hattrick against Randers three weeks ago. The head to head match up against left back Jonas Knudsen could be dominated by Kusk. Knudsen is a good defender but has a tendency to make some poor decisions during a match.

With injuries and poor momentum Esbjerg could be in for a difficult time. If this is the match that the strikers will finally end the scoring drought is difficult to say. This season AaB have been an entertaining team to watch. In their seven away games all of them have ended with more than 2.5 goals and Esbjerg have played five of their eight matches with three or more goals. If you prefer to bet on a winner we think that AaB will come on top.

Recommendation: Over 2.5 - 2.05 bet365
Idea: 2 - 2.72 Betfair


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