Randers-AaB

Friday 20/9 18.30

Randers (8th) are beginning to feel the pressure from below after two losses in a row. You could call this the “Ronnie Schwartz-absence effect” since Randers have failed to score without their top scorer. Schwartz is not playing on Friday either so an alternative goal scorer is needed. A potential candidate could be new signing Djiby Fall who got second half last weekend. It was obvious that he is not in top form yet, but there was still a sense of chaos around him. We expect more from him in the coming weeks. Randers were without key players Jonas Kamper and Adama Tamboura last weekend and both of them are doubtful for this match. Tamboura is reportedly most likely to be in the line-up and a return of the left back will be treasured since alternative Chris Sørensen proved that he is simply too slow for that position (led to a conceded goal in last game). AaB (2nd) are probably the hottest team in the league right now. They look solid in every line and they have a lot confidence. They continue until the last whistle (two goals in last ten minutes in each of the recent two matches). We expect AaB to dominate the midfield with in-form players like Thomsen, Risgård, Kusk and Würtz. Right back Henrik Dalsgaard should be fit for this match so AaB should be able to field the strongest possible team.

If you look at recent performances, the two sides are in each end of the scale. Add to this that Randers are still without their top scorer and maybe a few key players. Normally this would be a very equal match-up and we accept that this could be the case this Friday as well. We just see more quality in the current AaB side and we therefore recommend the away win with draw insurance. 

Recommendation: AH 2(+0) - 1.90 Bet365 

UPDATE: Central midfielder Risgård doubtful since his. He has been a force in midfield lately, so doubtful if the experienced Augostinussen can fill the gap. A slight disadvantage for our bet.

UPDATE v.2: According to local sources, Risgård, did not attend the last practice since his girlfriend is close to giving birth. He should be playing. For Randers both Kamper and Tamboura is in the squad. These are important improvements, but still we find marginal value in the 1.90 at
Bet365 since AaB are in better shape and Randers without top scorer Schwartz.