AaB-FC Midtjylland

Sunday 16/3 17.00

AaB (2nd) made quite an impression by winning 5-2 in Aarhus last weekend. Led by midfielders Thomsen and Kusk the AaB attack was on fire and the absence of striker Anders K. Jacobsen was not evident since the alternative, youngster Lukas Spalvis, did brilliantly. Midfielder Rasmus Würtz was sick but his absence was covered well by Patrick Kristensen. Würtz should be back for this match while Anders K. Jacobsen will not. In total it is an AaB squad very close to best line-up. Add to this that they have a strong home pitch: they have not lost in 15 consecutive home matches. FC Midtjylland (1st) can put themselves in a perfect position for a first championship title if they win this match, although they would probably be satisfied with a draw. After smashing FC Copenhagen 5-1, they looked more modest against SønderjyskE and only poor refereeing and an efficient striker in Morten Duncan Rasmussen secured them a win (2-0). Dead last SønderjyskE were at the same level. FC Midtjylland suffered without the stability of having central defender Erik Sviatchenko in the line-up. Sviatchenko is injured for this match too. Furthermore normally strong winger Sylvester Igboun looked far from match fitness. Midfielder Petter Andersson is suspended. So all in all it is a FC Midtjylland team in a good position but not good condition.

AaB just come of a strong match, while FC Midtjylland’s performance was a bit more vague. We think that AaB have more momentum and combined with the home field advantage we find value in the home team. Some risk of a draw is natural in such an important match and we bet so we get money back in case of that outcome.

Recommendation: 1 (AH +0) – 1.71 at Mermaidbet