25. mar. 2014

AaB-FC Copenhagen


Sunday 30/3 19.00
AaB (2nd) only have themselves to blame for the loss last weekend against SønderjyskE. They created plenty of big chances to win but poor finishing meant that they missed out on the opportunity to take the top spot. Based on how they are playing they should have that position. They have an incredible strong midfield with a good combination of creative and strong midfielders who all share one ability: they are solid on the ball. In front it looked good too with youngster Lukas Spalvis scoring two goals. He seems like a strong alternative for the injured Anders K. Jacobsen. Only concern is the backline that are giving too many easy chances. Unfortunately AaB’s best striker Rasmus Jönsson is struggling with a groin injury and he could be absent for the upcoming match. Positive is the news that right back Dalsgaard and striker Jacobsen will return to the training grounds in this week. If this trio all get fit for Sunday, AaB will be able to field the strongest possible eleven. FC Copenhagen (3rd) are far from past strength. They have not been good at creating anything offensively (only scored four goals in the five games of 2014) and the continued absence of midfielder Nicolai Jørgensen seems like the main reason for this. The midfield of FC Copenhagen is not frightening anyone at the moment. Coach Solbakken underlined this by swapping both his central midfielders early in the last match. Against a strong midfield like AaB they could get dominated. Furthermore the backline of FC Copenhagen has still not recovered after the exit of Ragnar Sigurdsson to Krasnodar in the winter transfer window.

AaB are the leagues strongest home team in the league (12 matches: 7 wins and 5 draws). FC Copenhagen are fragile at the moment. They are without Nicolai Jørgensen, their most vital player. In fact, whether FC Copenhagen has Nicolai Jørgensen in the starting line-up or not makes a big difference. With: 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses (1.8 point average). Without: 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses (1.1 point average – this average would currently equal relegation). It makes no sense that AaB are not favourites for this match!

Tip of the Week: 1 -  2.95 at Mermaidbet
Idea: Under 2.5 goals - 2.00 at Unibet

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